Super Rugby Predictions
2024 Super Rugby Pacific success rate: 32/48 (66.7%). Average error 13.8 points.
The score margin equals [Team 1 score] minus [Team 2 score].
Team 1 | Win % 1 | Win % 2 | Team 2 | Predicted margin | Actual margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Crusaders | 78.1% | 21.9% | Rebels | 9 | |
Waratahs | 23.9% | 76.1% | Chiefs | -9 | |
Fijian Drua | 75.9% | 24.1% | Moana Pasifika | 8 | |
Brumbies | 33.0% | 67.0% | Hurricanes | -5 | |
Highlanders | 64.5% | 35.5% | Force | 4 | |
Reds | 23.2% | 76.8% | Blues | -9 |
Team 1 | Win % 1 | Win % 2 | Team 2 | Predicted margin | Actual margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fijian Drua | 13.5% | 86.5% | Hurricanes | -14 | -23 |
Reds | 71.9% | 28.1% | Highlanders | 7 | 31 |
Blues | 77.8% | 22.2% | Brumbies | 9 | 39 |
Force | 16.3% | 83.7% | Crusaders | -12 | 22 |
Team 1 | Win % 1 | Win % 2 | Team 2 | Predicted margin | Actual margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Moana Pasifika | 21.4% | 78.6% | Reds | -10 | 3 |
Waratahs | 25.7% | 74.3% | Crusaders | -8 | 3 |
Hurricanes | 66.2% | 33.8% | Chiefs | 5 | 13 |
Rebels | 58.8% | 41.2% | Highlanders | 3 | 16 |
Team 1 | Win % 1 | Win % 2 | Team 2 | Predicted margin | Actual margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Blues | 94.5% | 5.5% | Force | 21 | 47 |
Rebels | 58.0% | 42.0% | Fijian Drua | 2 | 21 |
Chiefs | 96.2% | 3.8% | Moana Pasifika | 24 | 36 |
Brumbies | 82.7% | 17.3% | Waratahs | 12 | 24 |
Team 1 | Win % 1 | Win % 2 | Team 2 | Predicted margin | Actual margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Crusaders | 49.4% | 50.6% | Chiefs | -1 | 11 |
Waratahs | 75.1% | 24.9% | Rebels | 8 | -6 |
Fijian Drua | 67.0% | 33.0% | Force | 5 | 18 |
Moana Pasifika | 12.2% | 87.8% | Blues | -15 | -39 |
Highlanders | 29.7% | 70.3% | Hurricanes | -6 | -35 |
Reds | 48.3% | 51.7% | Brumbies | -1 | -1 |
Team 1 | Win % 1 | Win % 2 | Team 2 | Predicted margin | Actual margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hurricanes | 91.9% | 8.1% | Rebels | 18 | 26 |
Brumbies | 88.3% | 11.7% | Moana Pasifika | 15 | 39 |
Fijian Drua | 48.4% | 51.6% | Waratahs | -1 | 3 |
Chiefs | 89.0% | 11.0% | Highlanders | 15 | 7 |
Blues | 59.3% | 40.7% | Crusaders | 3 | 20 |
Force | 27.6% | 72.4% | Reds | -7 | 9 |
Team 1 | Win % 1 | Win % 2 | Team 2 | Predicted margin | Actual margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Crusaders | 64.0% | 36.0% | Hurricanes | 4 | -4 |
Rebels | 47.6% | 52.4% | Reds | -1 | -27 |
Force | 69.9% | 30.1% | Moana Pasifika | 6 | -8 |
Highlanders | 50.4% | 49.6% | Brumbies | 1 | -6 |
Chiefs | 93.6% | 6.4% | Fijian Drua | 20 | 17 |
Waratahs | 32.5% | 67.5% | Blues | -5 | -2 |
Team 1 | Win % 1 | Win % 2 | Team 2 | Predicted margin | Actual margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Moana Pasifika | 45.4% | 54.6% | Rebels | -1 | -6 |
Waratahs | 62.7% | 37.3% | Highlanders | 4 | -2 |
Fijian Drua | 11.7% | 88.3% | Crusaders | -15 | 10 |
Brumbies | 88.2% | 11.8% | Force | 15 | 3 |
Hurricanes | 60.6% | 39.4% | Blues | 3 | 8 |
Reds | 20.6% | 79.4% | Chiefs | -10 | 6 |
Team 1 | Win % 1 | Win % 2 | Team 2 | Predicted margin | Actual margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Highlanders | 22.3% | 77.7% | Blues | -9 | -8 |
Rebels | 68.4% | 31.6% | Force | 6 | 14 |
Moana Pasifika | 41.2% | 58.8% | Fijian Drua | -3 | 3 |
Crusaders | 90.8% | 9.2% | Waratahs | 17 | -13 |
Chiefs | 64.6% | 35.4% | Brumbies | 4 | 34 |
Hurricanes | 77.5% | 22.5% | Reds | 9 | 5 |
Team 1 | Win % 1 | Win % 2 | Team 2 | Predicted margin | Actual margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chiefs | 47.9% | 52.1% | Crusaders | -1 | 4 |
Rebels | 37.9% | 62.1% | Brumbies | -4 | -27 |
Force | 24.9% | 75.1% | Hurricanes | -8 | -30 |
Blues | 91.4% | 8.6% | Fijian Drua | 17 | 24 |
Highlanders | 82.3% | 17.7% | Moana Pasifika | 11 | 14 |
Reds | 61.1% | 38.9% | Waratahs | 3 | 18 |