Super Rugby Predictions
2026 Super Rugby Pacific success rate: 12/20 (60.0%). Average error 15.6 points.
The score margin equals [Team 1 score] minus [Team 2 score].
| Team 1 | Win % 1 | Win % 2 | Team 2 | Predicted margin | Actual margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurricanes | 93.2% | 6.8% | Force | 19 | |
| Drua | 17.8% | 82.2% | Brumbies | -11 | |
| Crusaders | 81.4% | 18.6% | Highlanders | 11 | |
| Reds | 80.6% | 19.4% | Waratahs | 11 | |
| Blues | 94.2% | 5.8% | Moana Pasifika | 21 |
| Team 1 | Win % 1 | Win % 2 | Team 2 | Predicted margin | Actual margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs | 94.6% | 5.4% | Moana Pasifika | 21 | 33 |
| Waratahs | 29.9% | 70.1% | Hurricanes | -6 | -40 |
| Highlanders | 73.1% | 26.9% | Force | 7 | 8 |
| Blues | 64.2% | 35.8% | Crusaders | 4 | 16 |
| Brumbies | 83.1% | 16.9% | Reds | 12 | -3 |
| Team 1 | Win % 1 | Win % 2 | Team 2 | Predicted margin | Actual margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moana Pasifika | 66.0% | 34.0% | Force | 5 | -16 |
| Reds | 64.8% | 35.2% | Highlanders | 5 | 17 |
| Drua | 12.3% | 87.7% | Hurricanes | -15 | 5 |
| Chiefs | 80.2% | 19.8% | Crusaders | 10 | -10 |
| Brumbies | 69.4% | 30.6% | Blues | 6 | 3 |
| Team 1 | Win % 1 | Win % 2 | Team 2 | Predicted margin | Actual margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurricanes | 89.2% | 10.8% | Moana Pasifika | 16 | 42 |
| Waratahs | 73.9% | 26.1% | Drua | 8 | 23 |
| Highlanders | 20.4% | 79.6% | Chiefs | -10 | -3 |
| Force | 17.6% | 82.4% | Blues | -11 | -10 |
| Crusaders | 61.4% | 38.6% | Brumbies | 3 | -26 |
| Team 1 | Win % 1 | Win % 2 | Team 2 | Predicted margin | Actual margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Highlanders | 28.2% | 71.8% | Crusaders | -7 | 2 |
| Waratahs | 34.4% | 65.6% | Reds | -5 | 24 |
| Drua | 62.2% | 37.8% | Moana Pasifika | 4 | -14 |
| Blues | 47.5% | 52.5% | Chiefs | -1 | -4 |
| Force | 25.3% | 74.7% | Brumbies | -8 | -32 |