2025 End-of-year Predictions
2025 success rate: 28/33 (84.8%). Average error 11.4 points.The score margin equals [Team 1 score] minus [Team 2 score].
| Team 1 | Win % 1 | Win % 2 | Team 2 | Predicted margin | Actual margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wales | 4.0% | 96.0% | South Africa | -26 |
| Team 1 | Win % 1 | Win % 2 | Team 2 | Predicted margin | Actual margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia | 65.0% | 35.0% | Japan | 5 | -2 |
| Romania | 30.9% | 69.1% | Uruguay | -7 | -10 |
| Wales | 7.4% | 92.6% | New Zealand | -21 | -26 |
| Spain | 7.8% | 92.2% | Fiji | -20 | -8 |
| Portugal | 87.4% | 12.6% | Canada | 16 | 6 |
| Ireland | 49.0% | 51.0% | South Africa | -1 | -11 |
| France | 87.0% | 13.0% | Australia | 16 | 15 |
| Italy | 97.9% | 2.1% | Chile | 32 | 15 |
| Scotland | 99.1% | 0.9% | Tonga | 39 | 56 |
| England | 78.5% | 21.5% | Argentina | 11 | 4 |
| Team 1 | Win % 1 | Win % 2 | Team 2 | Predicted margin | Actual margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia | 98.2% | 1.8% | Canada | 33 | 21 |
| Italy | 5.9% | 94.1% | South Africa | -23 | -18 |
| Romania | 31.5% | 68.5% | USA | -6 | -8 |
| Portugal | 90.5% | 9.5% | Hong Kong | 19 | 46 |
| England | 48.4% | 51.6% | New Zealand | -1 | 14 |
| Wales | 78.5% | 21.5% | Japan | 11 | 1 |
| Ireland | 89.5% | 10.5% | Australia | 18 | 27 |
| France | 93.4% | 6.6% | Fiji | 22 | 13 |
| Scotland | 66.2% | 33.8% | Argentina | 6 | -9 |
| Team 1 | Win % 1 | Win % 2 | Team 2 | Predicted margin | Actual margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia | 93.6% | 6.4% | USA | 22 | 13 |
| Ireland | 98.6% | 1.4% | Japan | 35 | 31 |
| Romania | 64.4% | 35.6% | Canada | 5 | 10 |
| Portugal | 67.6% | 32.4% | Uruguay | 6 | -18 |
| Scotland | 34.2% | 65.8% | New Zealand | -5 | -8 |
| England | 92.2% | 7.8% | Fiji | 20 | 20 |
| Italy | 33.3% | 66.7% | Australia | -6 | 7 |
| France | 45.2% | 54.8% | South Africa | -2 | -15 |
| Wales | 26.7% | 73.3% | Argentina | -8 | -24 |
| Team 1 | Win % 1 | Win % 2 | Team 2 | Predicted margin | Actual margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| England | 82.7% | 17.3% | Australia | 13 | 18 |
| South Africa | 98.3% | 1.7% | Japan | 33 | 54 |
| Scotland | 98.9% | 1.1% | USA | 38 | 85 |
| Ireland | 47.8% | 52.2% | New Zealand | -1 | -13 |
| Team 1 | Win % 1 | Win % 2 | Team 2 | Predicted margin | Actual margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Japan | 17.2% | 82.8% | Australia | -13 | -4 |