2025 Mid-Year Predictions
2024 success rate: 17/21 (81.0%). Average error 15.3 points.The score margin equals [Team 1 score] minus [Team 2 score].
| Team 1 | Win % 1 | Win % 2 | Team 2 | Predicted margin | Actual margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Zealand | 79.6% | 20.4% | France | 11 | 10 |
| South Africa | 99.0% | 1.0% | Georgia | 38 | 45 |
| Argentina | 99.3% | 0.7% | Uruguay | 41 | 35 |
| USA | 2.0% | 98.0% | England | -32 | -35 |
| Samoa | 9.0% | 91.0% | Scotland | -19 | -29 |
| Canada | 28.5% | 71.5% | Spain | -8 | -1 |
| Team 1 | Win % 1 | Win % 2 | Team 2 | Predicted margin | Actual margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Japan | 37.4% | 62.6% | Wales | -4 | 5 |
| New Zealand | 77.6% | 22.4% | France | 10 | 4 |
| South Africa | 98.6% | 1.4% | Italy | 35 | 18 |
| Georgia | 8.7% | 91.3% | Ireland | -19 | -29 |
| Chile | 70.8% | 29.2% | Romania | 7 | 24 |
| Argentina | 56.8% | 43.2% | England | 2 | -23 |
| Australia | 83.4% | 16.6% | Fiji | 13 | 3 |
| Team 1 | Win % 1 | Win % 2 | Team 2 | Predicted margin | Actual margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Japan | 40.8% | 59.2% | Wales | -3 | -9 |
| New Zealand | 76.1% | 23.9% | France | 10 | 26 |
| South Africa | 98.3% | 1.7% | Italy | 33 | 45 |
| Portugal | 1.5% | 98.5% | Ireland | -35 | -99 |
| Uruguay | 79.4% | 20.6% | Romania | 11 | 62 |
| Argentina | 48.3% | 51.7% | England | -1 | -5 |
| Fiji | 36.9% | 63.1% | Scotland | -4 | 15 |
| USA | 76.3% | 23.7% | Spain | 10 | -11 |