English Prem. Predictions
2018-19 success rate: 29/36 (80.6%). Average error 9.3 points.
The score margin equals [Team 1 score] minus [Team 2 score].
| Team 1 | Win % 1 | Win % 2 | Team 2 | Predicted margin | Actual margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bath | 25.3% | 74.7% | Exeter | -9 | -15 |
| Northampton | 31.4% | 68.6% | Leicester | -6 | -8 |
| Sale | 58.9% | 41.1% | Newcastle | 3 | 13 |
| Wasps | 79.3% | 20.7% | Gloucester | 11 | -14 |
| Harlequins | 7.2% | 92.8% | Saracens | -21 | -5 |
| Worcester | 75.6% | 24.4% | Bristol | 9 | 45 |
| Team 1 | Win % 1 | Win % 2 | Team 2 | Predicted margin | Actual margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | 37.1% | 62.9% | Wasps | -4 | -1 |
| Bristol | 47.5% | 52.5% | Northampton | -1 | -5 |
| Exeter | 93.2% | 6.8% | Worcester | 22 | 17 |
| Gloucester | 77.3% | 22.7% | Harlequins | 10 | -2 |
| Saracens | 91.8% | 8.2% | Bath | 20 | 23 |
| Leicester | 70.7% | 29.3% | Sale | 7 | 4 |
| Team 1 | Win % 1 | Win % 2 | Team 2 | Predicted margin | Actual margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | 20.0% | 80.0% | Exeter | -11 | -7 |
| Bath | 83.2% | 16.8% | Northampton | 13 | 2 |
| Bristol | 53.5% | 46.5% | Harlequins | 1 | 7 |
| Sale | 43.2% | 56.8% | Wasps | -2 | -18 |
| Leicester | 81.9% | 18.1% | Worcester | 12 | -7 |
| Saracens | 95.1% | 4.9% | Gloucester | 25 | 23 |
| Team 1 | Win % 1 | Win % 2 | Team 2 | Predicted margin | Actual margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gloucester | 80.4% | 19.6% | Bristol | 12 | 22 |
| Exeter | 91.1% | 8.9% | Sale | 19 | 17 |
| Harlequins | 34.1% | 65.9% | Bath | -5 | -5 |
| Northampton | 7.2% | 92.8% | Saracens | -21 | -11 |
| Worcester | 51.6% | 48.4% | Newcastle | 1 | -3 |
| Wasps | 68.0% | 32.0% | Leicester | 6 | 6 |
| Team 1 | Win % 1 | Win % 2 | Team 2 | Predicted margin | Actual margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northampton | 61.6% | 38.4% | Harlequins | 4 | 7 |
| Wasps | 36.5% | 63.5% | Exeter | -5 | -11 |
| Leicester | 71.3% | 28.7% | Newcastle | 8 | 16 |
| Saracens | 98.0% | 2.0% | Bristol | 32 | 21 |
| Bath | 71.4% | 28.6% | Gloucester | 8 | 0 |
| Sale | 70.8% | 29.2% | Worcester | 7 | 6 |
| Team 1 | Win % 1 | Win % 2 | Team 2 | Predicted margin | Actual margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol | 20.9% | 79.1% | Bath | -11 | 7 |
| Gloucester | 72.2% | 27.8% | Northampton | 8 | 11 |
| Harlequins | 33.3% | 66.7% | Sale | -6 | 28 |
| Worcester | 26.6% | 73.4% | Wasps | -8 | -1 |
| Exeter | 82.9% | 17.1% | Leicester | 13 | 34 |
| Newcastle | 10.4% | 89.6% | Saracens | -18 | -11 |