English Prem. Predictions
2019-20 success rate: 15/24 (62.5%). Average error 10.3 points.
The score margin equals [Team 1 score] minus [Team 2 score].
| Team 1 | Win % 1 | Win % 2 | Team 2 | Predicted margin | Actual margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sale | 72.6% | 27.4% | Wasps | 8 | 10 |
| Bath | 49.8% | 50.2% | Northampton | -1 | 9 |
| Gloucester | 32.9% | 67.1% | Saracens | -6 | -9 |
| Harlequins | 66.1% | 33.9% | Worcester | 6 | -5 |
| London Irish | 55.3% | 44.7% | Leicester | 2 | 25 |
| Exeter | 79.0% | 21.0% | Bristol | 11 | -3 |
| Team 1 | Win % 1 | Win % 2 | Team 2 | Predicted margin | Actual margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol | 52.4% | 47.6% | Sale | 1 | 6 |
| Northampton | 68.4% | 31.6% | Harlequins | 6 | 18 |
| Leicester | 39.9% | 60.1% | Gloucester | -3 | 3 |
| Saracens | 94.0% | 6.0% | London_Irish | 23 | 3 |
| Wasps | 50.0% | 50.0% | Bath | -1 | 8 |
| Worcester | 30.6% | 69.4% | Exeter | -7 | -4 |
| Team 1 | Win % 1 | Win % 2 | Team 2 | Predicted margin | Actual margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bath | 36.6% | 63.4% | Exeter | -5 | 3 |
| Northampton | 72.6% | 27.4% | Worcester | 8 | 19 |
| Gloucester | 72.1% | 27.9% | Wasps | 8 | 16 |
| Harlequins | 61.3% | 38.7% | Bristol | 4 | 5 |
| London Irish | 42.0% | 58.0% | Sale | -3 | -34 |
| Leicester | 16.7% | 83.3% | Saracens | -13 | -14 |
| Team 1 | Win % 1 | Win % 2 | Team 2 | Predicted margin | Actual margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol | 51.1% | 48.9% | Bath | 1 | 27 |
| Exeter | 82.1% | 17.9% | Harlequins | 13 | 3 |
| Sale | 59.5% | 40.5% | Gloucester | 3 | -2 |
| Saracens | 86.4% | 13.6% | Northampton | 15 | -2 |
| Worcester | 66.6% | 33.4% | Leicester | 6 | 8 |
| Wasps | 71.7% | 28.3% | London Irish | 8 | -3 |