Champions and Challenge Cup Predictions - RUGBY VISION : RUGBY VISION

European Cups Predictions

Rugby Vision is currently only updating predictions for international games and Super Rugby. Normal service will resume for the 2021-22 season.

Champions Cup 2019-20 success rate: 51/66 (77.2%). Average error 10.1 points.

Challenge Cup 2019-20 success rate: 51/65 (78.5%). Average error 12.8 points.

The score margin equals [Team 1 score] minus [Team 2 score].

Champions Cup Final Prediction
Team 1	Win % 1	Win % 2	Team 2	Predicted margin	Actual margin
Exeter	52.4%	47.6%	Racing 92	1

Challenge Cup Final Prediction
Team 1	Win % 1	Win % 2	Team 2	Predicted margin	Actual margin
Bristol	57.2%	42.8%	Toulon	2

Champions Cup Semifinal Predictions
Team 1	Win % 1	Win % 2	Team 2	Predicted margin	Actual margin
Racing 92	51.8%	48.2%	Saracens	1	4
Exeter	67.8%	32.2%	Toulouse	6	10

Challenge Cup Semifinal Predictions
Team 1	Win % 1	Win % 2	Team 2	Predicted margin	Actual margin
Bristol	59.3%	40.7%	Bordeaux	3	17
Toulon	86.2%	13.8%	Leicester	15	15

Champions Cup Quarterfinal Predictions
Team 1	Win % 1	Win % 2	Team 2	Predicted margin	Actual margin
Clermont	49.0%	51.0%	Racing 92	-1	-9
Toulouse	63.8%	36.2%	Ulster	5	28
Exeter	90.9%	9.1%	Northampton	19	23
Leinster	86.1%	13.9%	Saracens	15	-8

Challenge Cup Quarterfinal Predictions
Team 1	Win % 1	Win % 2	Team 2	Predicted margin	Actual margin
Bordeaux	60.2%	39.8%	Edinburgh	3	9
Toulon	69.2%	30.8%	Scarlets	7	5
Leicester	55.5%	44.5%	Castres	2	Canceled
Bristol	89.2%	10.8%	Dragons	17	39

Champions Cup Round 6 Predictions
Team 1	Win % 1	Win % 2	Team 2	Predicted margin	Actual margin
Lyon	64.9%	35.1%	Northampton	5	-12
Benetton	12.9%	87.1%	Leinster	-16	-18
Harlequins	43.4%	56.6%	Clermont	-2	-7
Ulster	82.8%	17.2%	Bath	13	7
Exeter	83.0%	17.0%	La Rochelle	13	19
Sale	59.5%	40.5%	Glasgow	3	-38
Munster	90.0%	10.0%	Ospreys	18	27
Saracens	81.0%	19.0%	Racing 92	12	3
Toulouse	68.0%	32.0%	Gloucester	6	21
Montpellier	68.2%	31.8%	Connacht	6	6

Challenge Cup Round 6 Predictions
Team 1	Win % 1	Win % 2	Team 2	Predicted margin	Actual margin
Toulon	93.1%	6.9%	Bayonne	22	44
Zebre	27.0%	73.0%	Bristol	-8	0
Brive	59.9%	40.1%	Stade Francais	3	4
Pau	45.7%	54.3%	Leicester	-1	7
Cardiff	99.5%	0.5%	Calvisano	44	61
London Irish	36.5%	63.5%	Scarlets	-5	-19
Worcester	68.4%	31.6%	Castres	6	-6
Dragons	97.2%	2.8%	Enisei	29	42
Edinburgh	95.0%	5.0%	Agen	24	36
Toulon	93.1%	6.9%	Bayonne	22	44

Champions Cup Round 5 Predictions
Team 1	Win % 1	Win % 2	Team 2	Predicted margin	Actual margin
Clermont	54.1%	45.9%	Ulster	1	16
Racing 92	60.8%	39.2%	Munster	4	17
Bath	72.3%	27.7%	Harlequins	8	-6
La Rochelle	60.3%	39.7%	Sale	3	7
Ospreys	12.4%	87.6%	Saracens	-16	-7
Connacht	49.4%	50.6%	Toulouse	-1	-14
Glasgow	49.4%	50.6%	Exeter	-1	0
Gloucester	71.6%	28.4%	Montpellier	8	23
Leinster	90.7%	9.3%	Lyon	19	28
Northampton	78.7%	21.3%	Benetton	11	13

Challenge Cup Round 5 Predictions
Team 1	Win % 1	Win % 2	Team 2	Predicted margin	Actual margin
Agen	36.6%	63.4%	Wasps	-5	-28
Stade Francais	73.9%	26.1%	Zebre	9	-5
Castres	70.6%	29.4%	Dragons	7	28
Bayonne	44.7%	55.3%	London Irish	-2	17
Bordeaux	54.5%	45.5%	Edinburgh	1	15
Calvisano	4.5%	95.5%	Pau	-25	-28
Bristol	85.5%	14.5%	Brive	15	49
Worcester	98.2%	1.8%	Enisei	33	56
Scarlets	63.8%	36.2%	Toulon	5	-12
Leicester	54.8%	45.2%	Cardiff	2	10

Champions Cup Round 4 Predictions
Team 1	Win % 1	Win % 2	Team 2	Predicted margin	Actual margin
Racing 92	87.3%	12.7%	Ospreys	16	13
Harlequins	50.7%	49.3%	Ulster	1	-24
Connacht	66.1%	33.9%	Gloucester	6	3
Benetton	46.6%	53.4%	Lyon	-1	3
Montpellier	55.5%	44.5%	Toulouse	2	-8
Saracens	73.8%	26.2%	Munster	9	9
Leinster	88.4%	11.6%	Northampton	17	29
Glasgow	81.1%	18.9%	La Rochelle	12	-5
Exeter	81.2%	18.8%	Sale	12	25
Clermont	76.4%	23.6%	Bath	10	26

Challenge Cup Round 4 Predictions
Team 1	Win % 1	Win % 2	Team 2	Predicted margin	Actual margin
Castres	98.4%	1.6%	Enisei	34	12
Brive	76.6%	23.4%	Zebre	10	14
Pau	35.2%	64.8%	Cardiff	-5	5
Dragons	37.5%	62.5%	Worcester	-4	9
Bordeaux	92.4%	7.6%	Agen	21	27
Calvisano	1.9%	98.1%	Leicester	-33	-7
London Irish	53.8%	46.2%	Toulon	1	-6
Wasps	40.1%	59.9%	Edinburgh	-3	-2
Scarlets	88.1%	11.9%	Bayonne	17	41
Stade Francais	24.2%	75.8%	Bristol	-9	-2

Champions Cup Round 3 Predictions
Team 1	Win % 1	Win % 2	Team 2	Predicted margin	Actual margin
Bath	57.7%	42.3%	Clermont	3	-17
Northampton	37.0%	63.0%	Leinster	-4	-27
Lyon	75.3%	24.7%	Benetton	9	28
La Rochelle	44.2%	55.8%	Glasgow	-2	-3
Ulster	78.9%	21.1%	Harlequins	11	1
Ospreys	37.6%	62.4%	Racing 92	-4	-21
Munster	52.0%	48.0%	Saracens	1	7
Gloucester	61.6%	38.4%	Connacht	4	9
Sale	43.7%	56.3%	Exeter	-2	-2
Toulouse	71.2%	28.8%	Montpellier	7	14

Challenge Cup Round 3 Predictions
Team 1	Win % 1	Win % 2	Team 2	Predicted margin	Actual margin
Enisei	4.7%	95.3%	Castres	-25	-16
Agen	37.1%	62.9%	Bordeaux	-4	-70
Edinburgh	83.8%	16.2%	Wasps	14	11
Toulon	71.1%	28.9%	London Irish	7	20
Bristol	90.6%	9.4%	Stade Francais	19	26
Zebre	49.3%	50.7%	Brive	-1	3
Worcester	86.3%	13.7%	Dragons	15	6
Leicester	99.4%	0.6%	Calvisano	42	52
Bayonne	31.5%	68.5%	Scarlets	-6	-8
Cardiff	83.1%	16.9%	Pau	13	32

Champions Cup Round 2 Predictions
Team 1	Win % 1	Win % 2	Team 2	Predicted margin	Actual margin
Ulster	66.8%	33.2%	Clermont	6	5
Saracens	90.9%	9.1%	Ospreys	19	41
Toulouse	68.4%	31.6%	Connacht	6	15
Benetton	53.5%	46.5%	Northampton	1	-3
Lyon	38.7%	61.3%	Leinster	-4	-7
Exeter	68.0%	32.0%	Glasgow	6	16
Harlequins	56.8%	43.2%	Bath	2	6
Munster	74.2%	25.8%	Racing 92	9	0
Sale	74.7%	25.3%	La Rochelle	9	10
Montpellier	67.5%	32.5%	Gloucester	6	3

Challenge Cup Round 2 Predictions
Team 1	Win % 1	Win % 2	Team 2	Predicted margin	Actual margin
Enisei	8.3%	91.7%	Dragons	-20	-27
Brive	35.7%	64.3%	Bristol	-5	-36
Pau	98.9%	1.1%	Calvisano	37	51
Edinburgh	81.0%	19.0%	Bordeaux	12	0
Toulon	57.3%	42.7%	Scarlets	2	1
Castres	52.4%	47.6%	Worcester	1	8
Zebre	46.5%	53.5%	Stade Francais	-1	-1
London Irish	79.9%	20.1%	Bayonne	11	14
Wasps	79.9%	20.1%	Agen	11	18
Cardiff	76.5%	23.5%	Leicester	10	-3

Champions Cup Round 1 Predictions
Team 1	Win % 1	Win % 2	Team 2	Predicted margin	Actual margin
Gloucester	57.9%	42.1%	Toulouse	3	-5
Glasgow	75.4%	24.6%	Sale	9	6
Bath	58.1%	41.9%	Ulster	3	-1
Leinster	90.7%	9.3%	Benetton	19	14
La Rochelle	43.2%	56.8%	Exeter	-2	-19
Clermont	70.7%	29.3%	Harlequins	7	32
Ospreys	32.9%	67.1%	Munster	-6	-19
Connacht	68.2%	31.8%	Montpellier	6	3
Northampton	60.2%	39.8%	Lyon	3	11
Racing 92	40.5%	59.5%	Saracens	-3	20

Challenge Cup Round 1 Predictions
Team 1	Win % 1	Win % 2	Team 2	Predicted margin	Actual margin
Enisei	3.8%	96.2%	Worcester	-27	-43
Agen	27.4%	72.6%	Edinburgh	-8	-21
Bayonne	39.5%	60.5%	Toulon	-4	-7
Stade Francais	62.5%	37.5%	Brive	4	-16
Calvisano	1.1%	98.9%	Cardiff	-37	-22
Dragons	47.5%	52.5%	Castres	-1	14
Leicester	70.3%	29.7%	Pau	7	21
Bristol	94.0%	6.0%	Zebre	23	38
Scarlets	78.9%	21.1%	London Irish	11	4
Bordeaux	66.0%	34.0%	Wasps	5	10

Archive (xlsx file): 2016-17 to 2018-19