Super Rugby Predictions
2023 Super Rugby Pacific success rate: 74/91 (81.3%). Average error 12.3 points.
The score margin equals [Team 1 score] minus [Team 2 score].
Team 1 | Win % 1 | Win % 2 | Team 2 | Predicted margin | Actual margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chiefs | 47.1% | 52.9% | Crusaders | -1 | -5 |
Team 1 | Win % 1 | Win % 2 | Team 2 | Predicted margin | Actual margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Crusaders | 72.2% | 27.8% | Blues | 7 | 37 |
Chiefs | 80.9% | 19.1% | Brumbies | 11 | 13 |
Team 1 | Win % 1 | Win % 2 | Team 2 | Predicted margin | Actual margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Blues | 89.7% | 10.3% | Waratahs | 16 | 29 |
Chiefs | 94.4% | 5.6% | Reds | 21 | 9 |
Crusaders | 96.5% | 3.5% | Fijian Drua | 24 | 41 |
Brumbies | 51.0% | 49.0% | Hurricanes | 1 | 4 |
Team 1 | Win % 1 | Win % 2 | Team 2 | Predicted margin | Actual margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Blues | 91.5% | 8.5% | Highlanders | 18 | 7 |
Brumbies | 82.7% | 17.3% | Rebels | 12 | 16 |
Fijian Drua | 35.6% | 64.4% | Reds | -4 | 24 |
Hurricanes | 39.6% | 60.4% | Crusaders | -3 | 1 |
Waratahs | 91.9% | 8.1% | Moana Pasifika | 18 | -9 |
Force | 11.0% | 89.0% | Chiefs | -15 | -24 |
Team 1 | Win % 1 | Win % 2 | Team 2 | Predicted margin | Actual margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Highlanders | 55.9% | 44.1% | Reds | 2 | 5 |
Rebels | 52.2% | 47.8% | Force | 1 | 38 |
Fijian Drua | 78.7% | 21.3% | Moana Pasifika | 10 | 1 |
Crusaders | 90.2% | 9.8% | Waratahs | 16 | 24 |
Blues | 70.2% | 29.8% | Hurricanes | 6 | 11 |
Brumbies | 38.1% | 61.9% | Chiefs | -4 | -10 |
Team 1 | Win % 1 | Win % 2 | Team 2 | Predicted margin | Actual margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Moana Pasifika | 3.8% | 96.2% | Crusaders | -24 | -34 |
Reds | 28.3% | 71.7% | Blues | -7 | -19 |
Highlanders | 73.3% | 26.7% | Rebels | 7 | 3 |
Chiefs | 72.1% | 27.9% | Hurricanes | 7 | 11 |
Waratahs | 85.1% | 14.9% | Fijian Drua | 13 | 14 |
Force | 21.9% | 78.1% | Brumbies | -9 | 15 |
Team 1 | Win % 1 | Win % 2 | Team 2 | Predicted margin | Actual margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chiefs | 93.5% | 6.5% | Reds | 20 | -3 |
Force | 63.6% | 36.4% | Fijian Drua | 4 | 20 |
Hurricanes | 95.6% | 4.4% | Moana Pasifika | 23 | 49 |
Crusaders | 68.0% | 32.0% | Blues | 6 | 12 |
Waratahs | 78.7% | 21.3% | Rebels | 10 | 18 |
Brumbies | 85.4% | 14.6% | Highlanders | 13 | 16 |
Team 1 | Win % 1 | Win % 2 | Team 2 | Predicted margin | Actual margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Highlanders | 18.5% | 81.5% | Chiefs | -11 | -24 |
Fijian Drua | 13.6% | 86.4% | Hurricanes | -14 | 3 |
Crusaders | 94.5% | 5.5% | Force | 21 | 35 |
Blues | 98.5% | 1.5% | Moana Pasifika | 31 | 1 |
Reds | 60.7% | 39.3% | Waratahs | 3 | -8 |
Rebels | 20.3% | 79.7% | Brumbies | -10 | -7 |
Team 1 | Win % 1 | Win % 2 | Team 2 | Predicted margin | Actual margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hurricanes | 63.8% | 36.2% | Brumbies | 4 | 5 |
Waratahs | 65.6% | 34.4% | Highlanders | 5 | 1 |
Fijian Drua | 7.5% | 92.5% | Blues | -19 | -16 |
Moana Pasifika | 36.6% | 63.4% | Rebels | -4 | -10 |
Chiefs | 62.5% | 37.5% | Crusaders | 4 | 10 |
Reds | 72.1% | 27.9% | Force | 7 | 14 |
Team 1 | Win % 1 | Win % 2 | Team 2 | Predicted margin | Actual margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chiefs | 96.2% | 3.8% | Fijian Drua | 24 | 33 |
Rebels | 11.2% | 88.8% | Crusaders | -15 | -16 |
Blues | 87.5% | 12.5% | Waratahs | 14 | 34 |
Force | 40.4% | 59.6% | Highlanders | -3 | 13 |
Team 1 | Win % 1 | Win % 2 | Team 2 | Predicted margin | Actual margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Moana Pasifika | 24.2% | 75.8% | Reds | -8 | -12 |
Brumbies | 93.9% | 6.1% | Fijian Drua | 20 | 15 |
Hurricanes | 60.9% | 39.1% | Chiefs | 3 | -16 |
Waratahs | 78.3% | 21.7% | Force | 9 | 20 |
Team 1 | Win % 1 | Win % 2 | Team 2 | Predicted margin | Actual margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Crusaders | 98.6% | 1.4% | Moana Pasifika | 32 | 17 |
Reds | 41.5% | 58.5% | Brumbies | -3 | -28 |
Highlanders | 33.0% | 67.0% | Hurricanes | -5 | -15 |
Rebels | 17.9% | 82.1% | Blues | -11 | -37 |
Team 1 | Win % 1 | Win % 2 | Team 2 | Predicted margin | Actual margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Moana Pasifika | 22.4% | 77.6% | Highlanders | -9 | -28 |
Reds | 22.4% | 77.6% | Crusaders | -9 | -13 |
Fijian Drua | 40.1% | 59.9% | Rebels | -3 | 10 |
Chiefs | 60.3% | 39.7% | Blues | 3 | 7 |
Brumbies | 80.5% | 19.5% | Waratahs | 10 | 4 |
Hurricanes | 94.8% | 5.2% | Force | 21 | 3 |
Team 1 | Win % 1 | Win % 2 | Team 2 | Predicted margin | Actual margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Crusaders | 75.8% | 24.2% | Brumbies | 8 | 18 |
Waratahs | 30.2% | 69.8% | Chiefs | -6 | -10 |
Highlanders | 77.9% | 22.1% | Fijian Drua | 9 | 33 |
Moana Pasifika | 11.7% | 88.3% | Hurricanes | -15 | -59 |
Rebels | 43.4% | 56.6% | Reds | -2 | 6 |
Blues | 95.4% | 4.6% | Force | 22 | 13 |
Team 1 | Win % 1 | Win % 2 | Team 2 | Predicted margin | Actual margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hurricanes | 80.4% | 19.6% | Waratahs | 10 | 17 |
Chiefs | 91.1% | 8.9% | Rebels | 17 | 19 |
Blues | 64.3% | 35.7% | Crusaders | 4 | -6 |
Brumbies | 94.3% | 5.7% | Moana Pasifika | 21 | 26 |
Highlanders | 77.5% | 22.5% | Force | 9 | 8 |
Reds | 88.2% | 11.8% | Fijian Drua | 15 | 3 |
Team 1 | Win % 1 | Win % 2 | Team 2 | Predicted margin | Actual margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chiefs | 87.6% | 12.4% | Highlanders | 14 | 21 |
Rebels | 39.6% | 60.4% | Waratahs | -3 | 7 |
Fijian Drua | 5.8% | 94.2% | Crusaders | -21 | 1 |
Hurricanes | 49.8% | 50.2% | Blues | -1 | -6 |
Brumbies | 76.7% | 23.3% | Reds | 9 | 6 |
Force | 70.2% | 29.8% | Moana Pasifika | 6 | 3 |
Team 1 | Win % 1 | Win % 2 | Team 2 | Predicted margin | Actual margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Crusaders | 82.4% | 17.6% | Highlanders | 11 | 37 |
Rebels | 19.8% | 80.2% | Hurricanes | -10 | -6 |
Moana_Pasifika | 7.1% | 92.9% | Chiefs | -19 | -23 |
Fijian_Drua | 21.1% | 78.9% | Waratahs | -10 | -29 |
Blues | 71.0% | 29.0% | Brumbies | 7 | -5 |
Force | 40.4% | 59.6% | Reds | -3 | -51 |
Team 1 | Win % 1 | Win % 2 | Team 2 | Predicted margin | Actual margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Crusaders | 82.7% | 17.3% | Chiefs | 12 | -21 |
Waratahs | 44.3% | 55.7% | Brumbies | -2 | -6 |
Moana Pasifika | 64.0% | 36.0% | Fijian Drua | 4 | -2 |
Highlanders | 36.2% | 63.8% | Blues | -4 | -40 |
Reds | 45.2% | 54.8% | Hurricanes | -1 | -34 |
Force | 63.8% | 36.2% | Rebels | 4 | 7 |